Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Astana 1-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, November 28 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Thursday, November 28 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Vila Real 0-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Gil Vicente
Having picked up 11 wins and two draws from their 17 Primeira Liga home games last season, Guimaraes have continued to make their home turf a fortress, which has been key to their surge into the top half of the table this term. Gil Vicente have struggled to impose themselves on the road and we are backing Borges's side to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
59.14% ( 0.53) | 23.87% ( -0.13) | 16.99% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 44.08% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
