

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 38.52% ( | 25.45% ( | 36.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( | 47.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( | 69.95% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.17% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( | 25.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.28% ( | 60.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 69 | 23 | 46 | 68 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 74 | 24 | 50 | 66 |
| 3 | Braga | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 57 |
| 4 | Porto | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 56 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 46 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 45 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Nacional | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 29 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 46 | -27 | 18 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
