Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
33.92% (![]() | 26.52% (![]() | 39.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.38% (![]() | 52.61% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.73% (![]() | 74.26% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.62% (![]() | 29.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.63% (![]() | 65.37% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% (![]() | 26.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% (![]() | 61.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 9.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.61% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.29% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |