

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 53.54% ( | 25.64% ( | 20.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.08% ( | 56.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.17% ( | 77.83% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( | 21.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.73% ( | 54.27% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( | 42.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.16% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 3.97% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 62 | 20 | 42 | 62 |
| 3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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