

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 36.32% ( | 27.29% ( | 36.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( | 55.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( | 29.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.71% ( | 65.29% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( | 65.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 62 | 20 | 42 | 62 |
| 3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 43 | -27 | 15 |
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