

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca | 
| 31.74% (  -0.03) | 25.23% (  -0.01) | 43.04% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 55.77% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.28% (  0.02) | 47.72% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.09% (  0.02) | 69.91% (  -0.03) | 
| Gil Vicente Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.62% (  -0.01) | 28.38% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.88% (  -0.01) | 64.12% (  0) | 
| Arouca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.87% (  0.02) | 22.13% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.49% (  0.04) | 55.51% (  -0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Arouca | 
| 1-0 @ 7.91% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.51% (  -0) 2-0 @ 4.98% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 2.09% (  -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.28% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.47% (  -0) 1-2 @ 9% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.14% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.52% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 3.59% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.85% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.71% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.35% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.07% (  0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.04% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 26 | 59 | 78 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 78 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 65 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 54 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 51 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 44 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 42 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 36 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 34 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 33 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 29 | 
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 24 | 
| 17 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 53 | -31 | 24 | 
| 18 | AVS | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 24 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
