Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca2 - 1Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Boavista
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 2-0 Boavista
While Boavista will be looking to find their feet this weekend, they take on a spirited Arouca side who have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks. We predict that the Arouquenses will pick up where they left off against Braga and come away with another comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
44.08% ( 0.52) | 25.08% ( 0.05) | 30.85% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
