

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Arouca | 
| 62.96% (  -0.06) | 20.62% (  -0.23) | 16.42% (  0.29) | 
| Both teams to score 52.71% (  1.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.97% (  1.58) | 43.03% (  -1.58) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.57% (  1.54) | 65.43% (  -1.55) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.95% (  0.47) | 13.05% (  -0.48) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.37% (  0.96) | 39.62% (  -0.96) | 
| Arouca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.62% (  1.33) | 39.37% (  -1.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.92% (  1.21) | 76.07% (  -1.22) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Arouca | 
| 2-0 @ 10.65% (  -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.46% (  -0.55) 2-1 @ 9.93% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 7.23% (  -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.74% (  0.14) 4-0 @ 3.68% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 3.43% (  0.13) 3-2 @ 3.14% (  0.17) 4-2 @ 1.6% (  0.11) 5-0 @ 1.5% (  0.03) 5-1 @ 1.4% (  0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.95% | 1-1 @ 9.75% (  -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.14% (  -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.63% (  0.18) 3-3 @ 0.98% (  0.09) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.62% | 0-1 @ 4.79% (  -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.55% (  0.1) 0-2 @ 2.23% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% (  0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% (  0.08) Other @ 2% Total : 16.42% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 | 
| 3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 | 
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 | 
| 9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 | 
| 13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 | 
| 14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 | 
| 16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 | 
| R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 | 
| R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
