

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga | 
| 27.38% (  -0.2) | 24.53% (  -0.07) | 48.09% (  0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 55.45% (  0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.05% (  0.14) | 46.94% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.81% (  0.13) | 69.19% (  -0.13) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.95% (  -0.08) | 31.05% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.64% (  -0.09) | 67.36% (  0.09) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.41% (  0.16) | 19.59% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.48% (  0.26) | 51.52% (  -0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rio Ave | Draw | Braga | 
| 1-0 @ 7.11% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.78% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.16% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.64% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.38% | 1-1 @ 11.59% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 9.91% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.45% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 8.08% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 5.14% (  0.04) 0-3 @ 4.39% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 3% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 2.09% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 1.79% (  0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% (  0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 48.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 | 
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
