

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 77.69% (  -0.25) | 14.84% (  0.1) | 7.47% (  0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 42.45% (  0.41) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.47% (  0.11) | 40.53% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.09% (  0.11) | 62.91% (  -0.11) | 
| Porto Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 91.43% (  -0.03) | 8.57% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.37% (  -0.07) | 29.63% (  0.08) | 
| Santa Clara Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 46.43% (  0.46) | 53.57% (  -0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.99% (  0.29) | 87% (  -0.29) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Porto | Draw | Santa Clara | 
| 2-0 @ 13.85% (  -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.34% (  -0.11) 1-0 @ 11.27% (  -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.65% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 7.08% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 6.97% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.35% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 3.43% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.21% (  0.04) 5-1 @ 2.14% (  0) 6-0 @ 1.4% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% (  0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.67% | 1-1 @ 7.04% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 4.59% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.7% (  0.05) Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.84% | 0-1 @ 2.87% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 2.2% (  0.05) Other @ 2.4% Total : 7.47% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 | 
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 | 
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 | 
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 | 
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 | 
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 | 
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 | 
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 | 
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 | 
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 | 
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 | 
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