

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 7.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 77.69% ( | 14.84% ( | 7.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( | 40.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.09% ( | 62.91% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( | 8.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.37% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.43% ( | 53.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.99% ( | 87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 13.85% ( 3-0 @ 11.34% ( 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 4-0 @ 6.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.35% ( 5-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 6-0 @ 1.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 77.67% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 2-2 @ 2.7% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.84% | 0-1 @ 2.87% ( 1-2 @ 2.2% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 7.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 61 | 20 | 41 | 53 |
| 2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
| 3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
| 11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
| 12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
