
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
| 43.7% ( | 25.84% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( | 50.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( | 72.72% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( | 23.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.96% ( | 57.03% ( |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( | 30.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.91% ( | 67.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | AVS |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.69% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Benfica | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 65 | 22 | 43 | 65 |
| 3 | Porto | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 46 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Nacional | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 16 | AVS | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 46 | -29 | 15 |
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