Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Porto
Sunday, January 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 AVS
Saturday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Nacional 1-0 AVS
Buoyed by their victory over Porto, Nacional will head into the weekend in sky-high spirits as they look to put together a fine run of form and push into the top half of the table. AVS have proven tough to crack or late, holding out for a share of the spoils in their last five games, but we fancy Margarido's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | AVS |
33.12% ( -0.16) | 26.26% ( -0.04) | 40.63% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
