Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
MVV1 - 0Jong Ajax
Klaasen (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dordrecht 3-0 MVV
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, April 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-0 Helmond
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, April 28 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 56.46%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.04%) and 3-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
56.46% ( 0.29) | 20.43% ( -0.06) | 23.11% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.42% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
