Southampton logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Liverpool logo

Southampton
1 - 2
Liverpool

Archer (59')
Downes (57'), Brereton Diaz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nunez (24'), Elliott (32')
Elliott (57'), McConnell (90')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Liverpool.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up for their EFL Cup quarter-final away to Southampton on Wednesday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final with Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 0-5 Spurs
Sunday, December 15 at 7pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Fulham
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 13.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.96%) and 1-3 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
13.23% (1.798 1.8)16.52% (1.506 1.51)70.25% (-3.308 -3.31)
Both teams to score 59.61% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.73% (-2.835 -2.83)30.26% (2.829 2.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.49% (-3.478 -3.48)51.51% (3.472 3.47)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (0.662 0.66)35.4% (-0.666 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.683 0.68)72.16% (-0.688 -0.69)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (-1.304 -1.3)7.71% (1.3 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.52% (-3.453 -3.45)27.48% (3.448 3.45)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 13.23%
    Liverpool 70.25%
    Draw 16.52%
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 3.77% (0.468 0.47)
1-0 @ 2.84% (0.477 0.48)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 1.47% (0.269 0.27)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 13.23%
1-1 @ 7.27% (0.786 0.79)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.296 0.3)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.418 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 16.52%
1-2 @ 9.31% (0.409 0.41)
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.237 0.24)
1-3 @ 7.95% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-3 @ 7.66% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-1 @ 7% (0.643 0.64)
1-4 @ 5.09% (-0.503 -0.5)
0-4 @ 4.9% (-0.583 -0.58)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 2.64% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-5 @ 2.61% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-5 @ 2.51% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-5 @ 1.36% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-6 @ 1.11% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-6 @ 1.07% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-4 @ 0.92% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 70.25%

How you voted: Southampton vs Liverpool

Southampton
23.3%
Draw
20.0%
Liverpool
56.7%
30
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Southampton
2-3
Liverpool
Armstrong (42'), Fernandes (56')
Lallana (23'), Armstrong (73'), Stephens (90+8')
Szoboszlai (30'), Salah (65', 83')
Bradley (13'), Konate (16'), Gakpo (49'), Salah (84')
Feb 28, 2024 8pm
Fifth Round
Liverpool
3-0
Southampton
Koumas (44'), Danns (73', 88')

Manning (79')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Southampton
4-4
Liverpool
Ward-Prowse (19'), Deen Sulemana (28', 48'), Armstrong (64')
Jota (10', 73'), Firmino (14'), Gakpo (72')
Tsimikas (25'), Elliott (60')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Liverpool
3-1
Southampton
Firmino (6'), Nunez (21', 42')
Adams (9')
May 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Southampton
1-2
Liverpool
Redmond (13')
Tella (69'), Stephens (74')
Minamino (27'), Matip (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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