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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Duran (24')
Rogers (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (69'), Wood (78'), Amo-Ameyaw (85')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-5 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
58.03% (2.865 2.87) 20.72% (-0.875 -0.88) 21.26% (-1.985 -1.99)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.36% (1.685 1.69)35.64% (-1.679 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3% (1.839 1.84)57.7% (-1.833 -1.83)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (1.393 1.39)12.15% (-1.388 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (2.852 2.85)37.76% (-2.848 -2.85)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.745 -0.75)29.9% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.911 -0.91)66% (0.916 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 58.03%
    Southampton 21.26%
    Draw 20.72%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.363 0.36)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.412 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.13% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.367 0.37)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.359 0.36)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.18 0.18)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.225 0.23)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.208 0.21)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.483 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.415 -0.42)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.478 -0.48)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 21.26%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
81.3%
Draw
10.9%
Southampton
7.8%
193
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Southampton
1-0
Aston Villa
Armstrong (3')
Romeu (62'), Salisu (90+1')

El Ghazi (11'), Tuanzebe (65')
Jan 30, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest341861053411260
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford34147135850849
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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