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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.71%) and 3-1 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton | 
| 53.89% (  0.03) | 20.96% (  -0.01) | 25.15% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 66% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.88% (  0.01) | 32.12% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 46.29% (  0.01) | 53.7% (  -0.02) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.82% (  0.01) | 12.18% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.18% (  0.02) | 37.82% (  -0.03) | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.15% (  -0.01) | 24.84% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% (  -0.01) | 59.44% (  0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Southampton | 
| 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 6.71% (  0) 3-1 @ 6.56% (  0) 1-0 @ 6.37% (  -0) 3-0 @ 4.71% (  0) 3-2 @ 4.56% (  0) 4-1 @ 3.45% (  0) 4-0 @ 2.48% (  0) 4-2 @ 2.4% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.45% (  0) 4-3 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 1.04% (  0) 5-2 @ 1.01% (  0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 8.87% (  -0) 2-2 @ 6.5% (  -0) 0-0 @ 3.03% (  -0) 3-3 @ 2.12% (  0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 6.18% (  -0) 0-1 @ 4.21% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.02% (  -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.87% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1% (  -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.15% | 
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