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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion | 
| 42.03% (  -0.17) | 23.18% (  -0.02) | 34.79% (  0.19) | 
| Both teams to score 64.18% (  0.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.82% (  0.13) | 37.18% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.62% (  0.15) | 59.38% (  -0.14) | 
| Bournemouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.82% (  -0.02) | 18.18% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.83% (  -0.03) | 49.17% (  0.04) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.44% (  0.16) | 21.56% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.36% (  0.25) | 54.64% (  -0.24) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion | 
| 2-1 @ 8.74% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.68% (  -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.7% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.97% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.81% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.62% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.38% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 42.03% | 1-1 @ 10.25% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 3.92% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% (  0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.18% | 1-2 @ 7.87% (  0.02) 0-1 @ 6.01% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.61% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 4.02% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% (  0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% (  0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.79% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||
