Bournemouth

3 - 1

Southampton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.