Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
33.35% | 25.39% | 41.27% |
Both teams to score 55.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% | 47.92% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% | 70.1% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% | 27.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% | 62.94% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% | 23.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% | 56.91% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 8.19% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.45% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.94% Total : 33.35% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 75 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 29 | 53 | 73 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 62 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 53 | 7 | 54 |
6 | Aston Villa | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 54 |
7 | Liverpool | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 53 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 49 |
9 | Brentford | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 47 |
10 | Fulham | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 45 |
11 | Chelsea | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 37 |
14 | Bournemouth | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 36 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 34 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 60 | -31 | 30 |
18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 29 |
19 | Everton | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 28 |
20 | Southampton | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 24 |
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