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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton | 
| 37.4% (  -2.85) | 23.91% (  -0.7) | 38.69% (  3.55) | 
| Both teams to score 61.81% (  2.85) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.57% (  3.59) | 40.42% (  -3.59) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.2% (  3.6) | 62.8% (  -3.6) | 
| Crystal Palace Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.3% (  0.17) | 21.69% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.15% (  0.27) | 54.84% (  -0.27) | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.93% (  3.47) | 21.06% (  -3.47) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.13% (  5.14) | 53.87% (  -5.14) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton | 
| 2-1 @ 8.31% (  -0.4) 1-0 @ 6.98% (  -1.17) 2-0 @ 5.34% (  -0.86) 3-1 @ 4.23% (  -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.3% (  0.2) 3-0 @ 2.72% (  -0.42) 4-1 @ 1.62% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% (  0.08) 4-0 @ 1.04% (  -0.16) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.4% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (  -0.59) 2-2 @ 6.47% (  0.35) 0-0 @ 4.57% (  -0.8) 3-3 @ 1.71% (  0.26) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.47% (  0.42) 0-1 @ 7.12% (  -0.42) 0-2 @ 5.54% (  0.25) 1-3 @ 4.4% (  0.63) 2-3 @ 3.36% (  0.5) 0-3 @ 2.88% (  0.4) 1-4 @ 1.71% (  0.39) 2-4 @ 1.31% (  0.3) 0-4 @ 1.12% (  0.25) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.69% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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