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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Brighton
1 - 3
Crystal Palace

Guehi (87' og.)
Dunk (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Chalobah (27'), Sarr (33', 82')
Guehi (45+4'), Munoz (51'), Henderson (69'), Sarr (79')

The Match

Match Report

A wasteful Brighton & Hove Albion are condemned to their first Premier League home defeat of the season as Crystal Palace triumph 3-1 at the Amex in the M23 derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Crystal Palace could line up in the A23 derby against Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Sunday, December 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-2 Man City
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
48.86% (-0.23 -0.23) 22.67% (0.032 0.03) 28.47% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 62.8% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)37.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)59.87% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)15.73% (0.086 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-0.163 -0.16)44.82% (0.159 0.16)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (0.119 0.12)25.48% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (0.163 0.16)60.32% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.86%
    Crystal Palace 28.47%
    Draw 22.66%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.75% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 28.47%

How you voted: Brighton vs Crystal Palace

Brighton & Hove Albion
60.0%
Draw
18.7%
Crystal Palace
21.3%
155
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dunk (3'), Hinshelwood (33'), Buonanotte (34'), Pedro (85')
De Zerbi (7'), Welbeck (90+2')
Mateta (71')
Guehi (16'), Franca (59'), Munoz (62')
Dec 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Andersen (87' og.)
Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest341861053411260
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford34147135850849
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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