Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace | 
| 48.86% (  -0.23) | 22.67% (  0.03) | 28.47% (  0.19) | 
| Both teams to score 62.8% (  0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.36% (  -0.02) | 37.63% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.13% (  -0.02) | 59.87% (  0.02) | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.27% (  -0.09) | 15.73% (  0.09) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.18% (  -0.16) | 44.82% (  0.16) | 
| Crystal Palace Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.52% (  0.12) | 25.48% (  -0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.68% (  0.16) | 60.32% (  -0.17) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Crystal Palace | 
| 2-1 @ 9.37% (  -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.41% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.86% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.78% (  -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.23% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.95% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.67% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.83% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.13% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6.41% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.01% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.8% (  0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 6.93% (  0.03) 0-1 @ 5.48% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 3.75% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 3.16% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% (  0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 1% (  0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.47% | 
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| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
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