Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
45.55% | 26.13% | 28.32% |
Both teams to score 51.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47% | 53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% | 74.59% |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% | 23.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% | 57.11% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.5% | 33.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.86% | 70.14% |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.29% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.54% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.5% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 72 | 29 | 43 | 73 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 56 |
4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 56 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 53 |
6 | Aston Villa | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 50 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
8 | Liverpool | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 44 |
9 | Brentford | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 43 |
10 | Fulham | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Bournemouth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 33 |
15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 29 |
17 | Everton | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 27 |
18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 27 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 25 |
20 | Southampton | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
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