MX23RW : Monday, April 28 01:58:38| >> :120:22015:22015:
Nottingham Forest logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Luton Town

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Luton

Yates (40'), Sosa (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Luton
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Luton Town

It will be fascinating to see whether Santo opts to go strong or rotate his resources for the visit of Luton, but regardless of what team Forest field, Luton should be heading home disappointed. The Hatters are in disarray on the field, and even if Trollope and Kyle can provide any sort of new manager bounce, the Premier League surprise package should enjoy safe passage into round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
44.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 30.39% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.052 0.05)49.48% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.52% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.069999999999993 0.07)30.17% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.082999999999998 0.08)66.32% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.09%
    Luton Town 30.39%
    Draw 25.51%
Nottingham ForestDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Luton

Nottingham Forest
92.4%
Luton Town
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Berry (89')
Kabore (30')
Wood (34')
Toffolo (84'), Sels (90')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Luton
Wood (48', 76')
Sangare (60'), Gibbs-White (82'), Murillo (90+8')
Ogbene (83'), Adebayo (90+2')
Apr 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Luton
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nott'm Forest
0-0
Luton
Taylor (26'), Colback (47'), McKenna (55')
Colback (61')
Lockyer (45+1'), Ruddock (68'), Bradley (90+3')
Mar 2, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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