Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
41.45% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() | 33.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.07% (![]() | 46.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.82% (![]() | 69.18% (![]() |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.45% (![]() | 22.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.86% (![]() | 56.14% (![]() |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% (![]() | 26.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 11.86% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.97% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |