

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 41.45% ( | 25.16% ( | 33.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( | 46.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( | 69.18% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( | 22.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.86% ( | 56.14% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.71% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 48 |
| 3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 36 |
| 7 | Montrose | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 30 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 9 |
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