Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.