

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 39.48% ( | 24.64% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( | 66.44% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( | 22.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.29% ( | 55.71% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.55% ( | 58.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0-2 @ 5.43% ( 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2% Total : 35.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 |
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 |
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 |
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 |
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
