

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 57.47% ( | 22.31% ( | 20.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( | 44.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( | 66.83% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( | 15.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.14% ( | 43.86% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( | 35.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.22% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 |
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
