Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United | 
| 21.25% (  0.12) | 22.92% (  -0.05) | 55.82% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 53.87% (  0.35) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.19% (  0.38) | 45.81% (  -0.38) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.88% (  0.36) | 68.12% (  -0.36) | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.31% (  0.33) | 35.69% (  -0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.54% (  0.34) | 72.46% (  -0.34) | 
| Southend United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.76% (  0.11) | 16.24% (  -0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.24% (  0.2) | 45.76% (  -0.2) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United | 
| 1-0 @ 5.97% (  -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.59% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 3.08% (  0) 3-1 @ 1.92% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% (  0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 10.85% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.8% (  -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% (  0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% (  0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.53% (  -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% (  0) 0-2 @ 9.58% (  -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.98% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 5.8% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% (  0.02) 0-4 @ 2.64% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% (  0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% (  0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.82% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 97 | 35 | 62 | 94 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 39 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 91 | 
| 3 | Woking | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 68 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 68 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 61 | 8 | 63 | 
| 6 | Eastleigh | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 63 | 
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 61 | 
| 8 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 54 | 
| 10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 53 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 52 | 
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 52 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 49 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 47 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 45 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 43 | 
| 17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 | 
| 18 | York City | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 | 
| 19 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 | 
| 20 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 52 | 83 | -31 | 37 | 
| 21 | Gateshead | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 34 | 
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 33 | 
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 31 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 40 | 81 | -41 | 24 | 
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