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AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Chang Arena

Buriram Utd
0 - 0
Johor Darul


Boakye (49')
FT

Insa (27'), Arribas (52'), Silvestre (55'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Buriram United and Johor Darul Ta'zim.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

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Last Game: Buriram Utd 2-3 Ventforet Kofu
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Johor Darul Ta'zim

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Last Game: Johor Darul 4-1 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buriram United win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Johor Darul Ta'zim had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buriram United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Buriram UnitedDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
51.15% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49) 23.06% (0.122 0.12) 25.78% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 58.97% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (-0.244 -0.24)41.63% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (-0.248 -0.25)64.03% (0.239 0.24)
Buriram United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.61% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)16.38% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)46.01% (0.469 0.47)
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (0.148 0.15)29.47% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (0.185 0.19)65.48% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Buriram United 51.15%
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 25.78%
    Draw 23.06%
Buriram UnitedDrawJohor Darul Ta'zim
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.068 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 25.78%

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