Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Doosan Arena
Lazio logo

Plzen
1 - 2
Lazio

Sulc (11'), Durosinmi (53')
Kalvach (61'), Cadu (70'), Cerv (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romagnoli (18'), Isaksen (90+8')
Vecino (62'), Patric (83')
Rovella (77'), Gigot (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Lazio
Sunday, March 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawLazio
27.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)25.53% (0.0010000000000012 0)47.32%
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.11%
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.15%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.0020000000000095 0)21.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)54.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 27.15%
    Lazio 47.32%
    Draw 25.53%
Viktoria PlzenDrawLazio
1-0 @ 7.94%
2-1 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.34%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.15%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 9.28%
0-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 4.73%
0-3 @ 4.33%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 47.32%

How you voted: Plzen vs Lazio

Viktoria Plzen
18.4%
Draw
20.2%
Lazio
61.3%
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