Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Tierra de Campeones
Deportes Iquique1 - 2Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Deportes Iquique and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Deportes Iquique (1-2 pen.)
Tuesday, February 25 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, February 25 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Alianza Lima (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 26 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportes Iquique | Draw | Alianza Lima |
37.1% ( 0.21) | 26.04% ( -0.13) | 36.85% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
