MX23RW : Wednesday, March 5 06:06:19| >> :600:8323919:8323919:
Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
3 - 2
Alianza Lima

Keno (47'), Marcelo (52'), Kennedy (81')
Melo (32'), Marcelo (58'), Martinelli (60'), Ganso (76'), Kennedy (90+2'), Marquinhos (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arregui (7'), Serna (50')
Arregui (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Alianza Lima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sampaio Correa
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Alianza Lima

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Fluminense 2-0 Alianza Lima

 Neither side is in top form on the domestic scene, but Flu's home advantage and long unbeaten record in this competition should see them cruise to victory. Only a point would keep Alianza's continental campaign alive, but they may be staring at a group-stage exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawAlianza Lima
65.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 19.71% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 14.43% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)42.91% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)65.31% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)12.18% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)37.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)41.94% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (-0.0029999999999966 -0)78.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 65.85%
    Alianza Lima 14.43%
    Draw 19.71%
FluminenseDrawAlianza Lima
2-0 @ 11.32%
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 65.85%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.71%
0-1 @ 4.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 14.43%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Alianza Lima

Fluminense
100%
Draw
0.0%
Alianza Lima
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2024 1.30am
Group Stage
Alianza Lima
1-1
Fluminense
Serna (35')
Huaman (22'), Pablo Freytes (85')
Marquinhos (72')
Melo (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool28207166264067
2Arsenal27159351232854
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest27146744331148
4Manchester CityMan City27145853371647
5Chelsea27137752361646
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
7Bournemouth27127845321343
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton27111064439543
9Fulham2711974036442
10Aston Villa2811984045-542
11Brentford27115114843538
12Crystal Palace279993533236
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs271031453391433
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2796123339-633
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
16Everton2771193034-432
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2764173756-1922
18Ipswich TownIpswich2738162657-3117
19Leicester CityLeicester2745182561-3617
20Southampton2723221965-469
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!