MX23RW : Wednesday, June 28 01:00:26| >> :60:2329:2329:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2023 at 11pm UK
Alinja Arena
Athletico PR
3 - 0
Alianza Lima
Bueno (8'), Roque (63', 88')
Ivaldo (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Miguez (37'), Castillo (90+2')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Alianza Lima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Alianza Lima

Both sides are expected to be assertive in this game, but Athletico's superior technical quality and home form should give them the edge over Alianza. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw has a probability of 17.4% and a win for Alianza Lima has a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.06%), while for an Alianza Lima win it is 0-1 (3.72%).

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAlianza Lima
74.07% (0.16 0.16) 17.4% (-0.084 -0.08) 8.53% (-0.071 -0.07)
Both teams to score 38.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.134 0.13)48.26% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.122 0.12)70.41% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.54% (0.084000000000003 0.08)11.46% (-0.081000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.7% (0.176 0.18)36.3% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.98% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)56.02% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.52% (-0.045 -0.04)88.48% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 74.06%
    Alianza Lima 8.53%
    Draw 17.4%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAlianza Lima
2-0 @ 15.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 13.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 10.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.89% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.55% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 74.06%
1-1 @ 8.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 17.4%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 8.53%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Alianza Lima

Athletico Paranaense
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Alianza Lima
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 11pm
rhs 2.0
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