Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.