MX23RW : Thursday, June 29 02:01:59| >> :120:28802:28802:
Canada national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 12am UK
BMO Field
Canada
2 - 2
Guadeloupe
Cavallini (49'), Lina (70' og.)
Cavallini (44'), Vitoria (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ambrose (23'), Russell-Rowe (90+3' og.)
Phaeton (62'), Gravillon (65')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Canada and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Guadeloupe

While this is not the most talented Canadian squad, they still have plenty of quality available at this competition along with some raw talent, and we believe Guadeloupe will struggle in their build-up as many players on that squad have not competed at an event as big as this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
54.45% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 23.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.022000000000002 0.02)70.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.69% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)73.47% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Canada 54.45%
    Guadeloupe 21.81%
    Draw 23.73%
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Canada vs Guadeloupe

Canada
84.3%
Draw
7.8%
Guadeloupe
7.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bournemouth00000000
2Arsenal00000000
3Aston Villa00000000
4Brentford00000000
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton00000000
6Burnley00000000
7Chelsea00000000
8Crystal Palace00000000
9Everton00000000
10Fulham00000000
11Liverpool00000000
12Luton TownLuton00000000
13Manchester CityMan City00000000
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd00000000
15Newcastle UnitedNewcastle00000000
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest00000000
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd00000000
18Tottenham HotspurSpurs00000000
19West Ham UnitedWest Ham00000000
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves00000000

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!