Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 19, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Alianza Lima1 - 0Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Alianza Lima and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alianza Lima 3-1 Nacional
Thursday, February 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Banfield 0-1 Boca Juniors
Friday, February 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, February 14 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alianza Lima in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alianza Lima | Draw | Boca Juniors |
48.81% ( -0.01) | 28.34% ( 0) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
