Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportes Iquique would win this match.