

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Barnet | 
| 37.63% (  0.07) | 25.35% (  -0) | 37.02% (  -0.07) | 
| Both teams to score 56.52% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.75% (  0.01) | 47.25% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.52% (  0) | 69.48% (  -0.01) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.35% (  0.04) | 24.65% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.83% (  0.05) | 59.17% (  -0.06) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.02% (  -0.03) | 24.98% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.37% (  -0.05) | 59.63% (  0.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rochdale | Draw | Barnet | 
| 1-0 @ 8.63% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 2.82% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.37% (  0) 4-0 @ 0.99% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% (  0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.16% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.81% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.54% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.3% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.92% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.33% (  -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% (  -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% (  -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.02% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 | 
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 56 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 55 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 | 
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 | 
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 50 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 47 | 
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 46 | 
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 | 
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 45 | 
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 | 
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 39 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 39 | 
| 21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 37 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 37 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 70 | -27 | 36 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 | 
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