Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.