
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Tamworth win it was 1-2 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Tamworth | 
| 56.41% (  0.44) | 22% (  -0.24) | 21.58% (  -0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 57.44% (  0.52) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.7% (  0.83) | 41.29% (  -0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.31% (  0.84) | 63.69% (  -0.84) | 
| Solihull Moors Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.51% (  0.42) | 14.48% (  -0.42) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.53% (  0.82) | 42.47% (  -0.82) | 
| Tamworth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.17% (  0.28) | 32.83% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.6% (  0.31) | 69.39% (  -0.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Tamworth | 
| 2-1 @ 9.89% (  0) 1-0 @ 9.19% (  -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.87% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.37% (  0.1) 3-0 @ 5.72% (  0.04) 3-2 @ 3.55% (  0.08) 4-1 @ 3.08% (  0.09) 4-0 @ 2.76% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1.19% (  0.05) 5-0 @ 1.07% (  0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 56.41% | 1-1 @ 10.23% (  -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.51% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 4.75% (  -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.32% (  0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 5.7% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.3% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.95% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.12% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.05% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.1% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 21.58% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 43 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 93 | 
| 2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 76 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 69 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 67 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 61 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 60 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 56 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 56 | 
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 56 | 
| 14 | Eastleigh | 43 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 55 | 
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 54 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 54 | 
| 17 | Woking | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 52 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 49 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 47 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 39 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 38 | 90 | -52 | 22 | 
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