

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 43.08% ( | 23.65% | 33.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( | 39.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.72% ( | 62.28% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( | 18.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.68% ( | 50.32% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.23% ( | 57.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-0 @ 6.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 4-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.08% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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