

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 51.89% ( | 23.53% ( | 24.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( | 44.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.69% ( | 17.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.33% ( | 47.66% ( |
| Solihull Moors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( | 32.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.35% ( | 68.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Solihull Moors |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 51.89% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 24.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 85 |
| 2 | York City | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 69 | 35 | 34 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 53 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 53 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 51 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 43 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 42 |
| 18 | Woking | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 41 |
| 19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 37 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 37 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 36 |
| 22 | Fylde | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 34 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 80 | -53 | 17 |
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