

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
| 27.73% ( | 23.99% ( | 48.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( | 44.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( | 29.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( | 18.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.32% ( | 49.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 2-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0-3 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 43 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 93 |
| 2 | York City | 43 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 89 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 76 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 43 | 18 | 15 | 10 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | Rochdale | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 67 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 67 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 73 | 63 | 10 | 66 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 43 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 61 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 60 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 60 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 56 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 56 |
| 13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 43 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 56 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 43 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 42 | 15 | 9 | 18 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 54 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 67 | 75 | -8 | 54 |
| 17 | Woking | 43 | 12 | 17 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 52 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 52 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 43 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 49 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 47 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
| 23 | Fylde | 43 | 11 | 6 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 39 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 43 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 38 | 90 | -52 | 22 |
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