Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.