Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.