

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Altrincham has a probability of 25.83% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Altrincham win is 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham | 
| 50.34% (  2.45) | 23.83% (  -1.1) | 25.83% (  -1.35) | 
| Both teams to score 56.39% (  2.39) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.94% (  3.71) | 45.06% (  -3.71) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.59% (  3.46) | 67.41% (  -3.46) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.04% (  2.44) | 17.96% (  -2.44) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.2% (  4.03) | 48.8% (  -4.03) | 
| Altrincham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.74% (  0.9) | 31.26% (  -0.9) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.39% (  1.03) | 67.6% (  -1.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham | 
| 1-0 @ 9.64% (  -0.78) 2-1 @ 9.62% (  0.22) 2-0 @ 8.27% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.51% (  0.52) 3-0 @ 4.74% (  0.34) 3-2 @ 3.2% (  0.38) 4-1 @ 2.36% (  0.38) 4-0 @ 2.03% (  0.29) 4-2 @ 1.38% (  0.25) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.34% | 1-1 @ 11.21% (  -0.62) 0-0 @ 5.61% (  -0.95) 2-2 @ 5.6% (  0.26) 3-3 @ 1.24% (  0.17) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.53% (  -0.91) 1-2 @ 6.52% (  -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.8% (  -0.43) 1-3 @ 2.53% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% (  0.15) 0-3 @ 1.47% (  -0.13) Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.83% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 42 | 40 | 81 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 62 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 59 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 54 | 
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 54 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 53 | 
| 7 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 53 | 
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 52 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 50 | 
| 10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 47 | 
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 42 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 42 | 
| 13 | Rochdale | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 41 | 
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Fylde | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 39 | 
| 16 | York City | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 39 | 
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 39 | 
| 18 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 38 | 
| 19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 38 | 
| 20 | Ebbsfleet | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 38 | 
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 38 | 
| 22 | Woking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 34 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 | 
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 28 | 
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