Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%).
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 48.6% ( | 22.76% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.04% ( | 37.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.78% ( | 60.21% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( | 15.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.79% ( | 45.2% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( | 25.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.6% ( | 60.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0-1 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 82 | 42 | 40 | 81 |
| 2 | Bromley | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 62 |
| 3 | Barnet | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 63 | 48 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 54 |
| 5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 54 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 53 |
| 7 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 53 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 52 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 47 |
| 11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 41 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Fylde | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 39 |
| 16 | York City | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 39 |
| 17 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 39 |
| 18 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 38 |
| 19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 38 |
| 20 | Ebbsfleet | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 38 |
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 38 |
| 22 | Woking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 34 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 33 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 28 |
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