

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 43.05% (  -0.45) | 23.81% (  -0.13) | 33.13% (  0.58) | 
| Both teams to score 61.28% (  0.7) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.24% (  0.83) | 40.76% (  -0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.85% (  0.84) | 63.14% (  -0.84) | 
| Wealdstone Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.78% (  0.15) | 19.21% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.09% (  0.24) | 50.91% (  -0.25) | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.85% (  0.73) | 24.15% (  -0.74) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.54% (  1.03) | 58.46% (  -1.04) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wealdstone | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 2-1 @ 8.97% (  -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.65% (  -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.31% (  -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.93% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.5% (  0.07) 3-0 @ 3.47% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.03% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.45% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.43% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.37% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 4.64% (  -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.66% (  0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.73% (  0.07) 0-1 @ 6.59% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.68% (  0.02) 1-3 @ 3.66% (  0.11) 2-3 @ 3.02% (  0.11) 0-3 @ 2.22% (  0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% (  0.07) 2-4 @ 1.07% (  0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.13% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 44 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 90 | 38 | 52 | 96 | 
| 2 | York City | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 91 | 42 | 49 | 90 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 21 | 16 | 7 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 79 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 44 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 70 | 
| 5 | Rochdale | 43 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 68 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 44 | 18 | 13 | 13 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 67 | 
| 7 | Gateshead | 44 | 19 | 9 | 16 | 75 | 66 | 9 | 66 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 44 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 64 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 63 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 44 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 60 | 
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 44 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 59 | 
| 12 | Eastleigh | 44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 58 | 
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 43 | 16 | 9 | 18 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 57 | 
| 14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 56 | 
| 15 | Woking | 44 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 56 | 
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 78 | -11 | 54 | 
| 18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 53 | 
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 52 | 
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 53 | 72 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 48 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 75 | -23 | 46 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 44 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 40 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 94 | -56 | 22 | 
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