
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
| 26.23% ( | 24.57% ( | 49.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.05% ( | 47.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.87% ( | 70.13% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.53% ( | 32.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31% ( | 69% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( | 19.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.57% ( | 51.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.23% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
| 2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
| 15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 |
| 17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 |
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 |
| 19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 |
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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