
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town | 
| 61.8% (  0.02) | 21.51% (  -0.01) | 16.69% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 50.36% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.55% (  0.02) | 46.45% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.27% (  0.02) | 68.73% (  -0.02) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.51% (  0.02) | 14.49% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.51% (  0.03) | 42.48% (  -0.03) | 
| Halifax Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.9% | 41.1% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.35% (  -0) | 77.64% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town | 
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.88% (  0) 3-0 @ 7.15% (  0) 3-1 @ 6.36% (  0) 4-0 @ 3.46% (  0) 4-1 @ 3.07% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.83% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.37% (  0) 5-0 @ 1.34% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.19% (  0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.22% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% (  0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 5.3% (  -0) 1-2 @ 4.55% (  -0) 0-2 @ 2.35% (  -0) 1-3 @ 1.35% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.69% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 | 
| 2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 | 
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 | 
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 | 
| 5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 | 
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 | 
| 10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 | 
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 | 
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 | 
| 15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 | 
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 | 
| 17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 | 
| 18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 | 
| 19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 | 
| 20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 | 
| 21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 | 
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 | 
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 | 
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